Stock recommendations for 8 October from MarketSmith India
MarketSmith India's Stock Picks for October 8
Market Overview
Indian equities snapped a two-day winning streak on Wednesday after the Reserve Bank of India raised interest rates for the first time since February 2023. The RBI hiked the repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.50% and shifted its stance to "calibrated tightening," signaling that rate cuts are off the table for now. It also raised its growth forecast for the financial year to 7.1% and its inflation forecast to 5.2%, citing high crude oil and food prices.
Index performance:
- Nifty 50: Fell 173.05 points (0.76%) to close at 22,603.05, after touching a low of 22,546.30
- Sensex: Lost 429.11 points (0.59%) to settle at 72,638.70
Metals, consumer durables, autos, and IT led the decline. Titan fell about 4% after its quarterly jewellery growth missed expectations. Reliance Industries rose nearly 3% on expectations of a Jio Platforms IPO, while Kotak Mahindra Bank extended its gains. Bank Nifty recovered sharply from its lows to end nearly flat.
Market breadth remained negative, with 1,549 stocks advancing, 2,043 declining, and 98 unchanged.
Stock Recommendation 1: Mtar Technologies Ltd
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Current price | ₹7,885 |
| Buy range | ₹7,806–7,924 |
| Target price | ₹9,100 (in 2–3 months) |
| Stop loss | ₹7,300 |
| P/E ratio | 174.41 |
| 52-week high | ₹8,714.00 |
| Volume | ₹86.79 crore |
| Technical setup | Trendline Breakout |
Why it's recommended: Strong order inflow from clean energy, civil nuclear, defense, and space sectors, supported by long-term relationships with key global OEMs and Indian strategic programs. Expanding contribution from hydrogen electrolyzer components and precision engineering capabilities positions the company to benefit from the energy transition and localization trends.
Key risks: High customer concentration risk, with significant revenue dependent on a few large customers and strategic projects. Execution delays or a slowdown in government-led defense, nuclear, space, and clean-energy investments could impact order conversion and revenue growth.
Stock Recommendation 2: Aegis Logistics Ltd
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Current price | ₹1,460 |
| Buy range | ₹1,445–1,467 |
| Target price | ₹1,700 (in 2–3 months) |
| Stop loss | ₹1,345 |
| P/E ratio | 33.19 |
| 52-week high | ₹1,528.70 |
| Volume | ₹248.41 crore |
| Technical setup | Trendline Breakout |
Why it's recommended: Market leadership in LPG import, storage, and distribution infrastructure, benefiting from rising LPG consumption and increasing energy demand in India. Expansion of liquid and gas terminal capacities, along with growing logistics infrastructure, supports volume growth and operating leverage.
Key risks: Earnings remain sensitive to fluctuations in LPG demand, import volumes, and regulatory changes affecting the energy and logistics sectors. Large-capex infrastructure projects face risks related to approvals, execution delays, and lower-than-expected utilization of terminal assets.
Nifty 50 Technical Analysis
The index remains in a bearish price structure, with a sequence of lower highs and lower lows. The recent breakdown below the horizontal consolidation area has reinforced selling pressure, and the index is trading decisively below its key short-, medium-, and long-term moving averages.
Momentum indicators:
- RSI: 33.13 (recovering from oversold territory but well below neutral 50)
- MACD: Negative at approximately -344, below the signal line near -314, with the histogram still below zero
Key levels to watch:
- Support: 22,200–22,000 (critical zone); a breakdown could open a path toward 21,700–21,600
- Resistance: 22,800–23,000 (emerged as a key technical hurdle)
Nifty Bank Technical Analysis
Nifty Bank opened at 54,583.05, hit an intraday high of 55,091.45, then saw profit-taking drag it to a low of 54,066.60. It recovered partially but closed 182.30 points (0.33%) lower at 54,450.75. The index formed a bearish spinning-top candle with long shadows, reflecting heightened volatility and indecision.
Momentum indicators:
- RSI: 32.80 (below its average line of 37.72, nearing oversold territory)
- MACD: -691.33 versus signal line of -505.63; negative histogram widened to 185.70 points
Key levels to watch:
- Support: 54,000–54,050, then 53,500, 53,000; a break below 54,000 could extend losses toward the 52,500–52,000 swing zone
- Resistance: 55,000–55,100, then the 21-DMA near 56,083; the 56,500–57,125 region is a stronger supply zone
Elevated crude oil prices, rupee weakness, and persistent foreign selling could keep sentiment cautious. A close above 55,100 could trigger a relief rebound; otherwise, the index remains vulnerable to renewed selling.




